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March 2010
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  • The Fed announced that low interest rates are here to stay until at least 2011.  That announcement wasn’t enough to keep the markets win streak intact.  Traders also had to contend with a rise in wholesale inflation and flat earnings from GE.

    Also, bank shares led the way down today but the damage was contained to approximately half of yesterdays gain, but on slightly increasing volume.

    Let’s take a look at the stock charts for some technical analysis and market timing insights.

    On the weekly stock chart, prices are appearing still flat for the week but with more than half the trading week remaining things could still change either way.  The stochastic and CCI are still pointing up with the MACD is indicating just absolutely nothing in direction.  This is still a market that could move in either direction.

    The daily stock chart shows the drop in prices that still held above the resistance level of 11,250.  Today’s action finished with a bottoming tail but both the stochastic and CCI reversed direction to the downside.  The upward movement of the MACD seems to have stalled somewhat.

    On the daily chart prices dropped sharply in the first 30 minutes of trading, reversed right at the 10am reversal time to the opening price, then proceeded to lose value for the remainder of the day, with the exception of the last hour of trading. 

    During the last 30 minutes of trading it looked like prices were going over the cliff.  But buyers jumped in pushing the average back up creating a sort of hammer at the close of the market.  This could potentially add strength to tomorrows open, we’ll have to wait and see.

    Trading Strategy:

    Aggressive traders could consider new positions during the market as long as prices are moving up and higher than the high made during the first 30 minutes of trading.

    Prudent traders may want to wait until prices move up more before taking on new long positions.  

    Either way, now is the time for caution.  Don’t be the farm on positions in either direction

    Weekly   Daily   Strategy for next market day based on price position only.  Refer to technical analysis & market timing verbiage for further details.
    Week End Date Weekly Trend Market Day Daily Trend
    12/18/2009 Up Fr    
    Th    
    We    
    Tu Up New Longs On Up Days
    Mo Up New Longs On Up Days
    12/11/2009 Up Fr Caution Tighten Stops/Take Profits
    Th Caution Tighten Stops/Take Profits
    We Down Potential Trend Transition
    Tu Down Potential Trend Transition
    Mo Up New Longs On Up Days
    12/4/2009 Up Fr Up New Longs On Up Days
    Th Up New Longs On Up Days
    We Up New Longs On Up Days
    Tu Up New Longs On Up Days
    Mo Caution Tighten Stops/Take Profits
    11/27/2009 Up Fr Caution Tighten Stops/Take Profits
    Th   Happy Thanksgiving
    We Caution Tighten Stops/Take Profits
    Tu Caution Tighten Stops/Take Profits
    Mo Caution Tighten Stops/Take Profits

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